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darkstar528
Post Laureate
Reged: 03/06/07
Posts: 4760
Loc: Hodgenville, Kentucky, USA
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I recently asked for a graph or animation of the moon in it's orbits so I could track something, well, today, what I wanted to attempt to predict, using that tracking, occurred...We had a 5.4 earthquake...The last one to hit here was 7/27/1980, also a full moon...Last night, if I have this right, is only 2 days away from the full moon...
I don't think it's the sole cause, but I believe there is some relation...
Any thoughts?...Let's talk about it!
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Blue skies,
Stephen "Darkstar" Ames
PST, VIXEN 8-24mm,CEMAX 2x Barlow, Thousand Oaks White Light Filter and a Meade Elec EP
CFI, CFII, MEI, working on EIEIO!
BAA Member
My solar site:
http://seemysunspot.com
Live solarcams from around the world:
http://www.seemysunspot.com/live_sun.html
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Tim2723
The Moon Guy
Reged: 02/19/04
Posts: 5121
Loc: Northern New Jersey
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Hi Steven,
That's an interesting thought, and I believe you're in good company when it comes to predicting earthquakes.
It's an established fact that the moon is responsible for tidal forces, and that these forces influence land and sea alike (although the ocean's tides are more easily and dramatically observed). These tidal forces are a big part of what keeps the interior of our planet hot and liquid, and of course, that is primary to earthquakes occuring in the first place. During full moon the gravitational influence of the moon is much greater because it is opposite the sun at that time. The moon's orbit (observed as phases) determines the height of tides; neep versus ebb tides, for example.
The first thing that comes to mind is that we were two days away from full moon. If we assume that full moon causes earthquakes then we have a case of the effect proceeding the cause. The quake should have occurred two days from now. If we are testing the idea that the moon influences severity, then had it occurred two days hence one might conclude that the quake would have been even greater than R5.4. The data is, of course, inconclusive to that. There remains, however, the fact that the moon was quite near full, when it exherts more tidal influence than at first quarter, for instance.
I would think that a correlation between apogee, perigee, and earthquake severity would be interesting to examine as well.
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The crwth will set you free!
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Centaur
Pooh-Bah
Reged: 07/12/04
Posts: 1123
Loc: Chicago
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Quote:
I recently asked for a graph or animation of the moon in it's orbits so I could track something, well, today, what I wanted to attempt to predict, using that tracking, occurred...We had a 5.4 earthquake...The last one to hit here was 7/27/1980, also a full moon...Last night, if I have this right, is only 2 days away from the full moon...
I don't think it's the sole cause, but I believe there is some relation...
Any thoughts?...Let's talk about it!
I hope you understood my explanations in your previous thread. They were made without knowledge of your true concern. Here near Chicago I slept through this morning's quake. I remember one awakening me here in 1967 and another when I was in California in the mid-eighties.
Two days away from opposition (Full Moon) is considerable in this case. Also the Moon this morning was nearer to apogee than perigee. Although this month neither one comes close to its semi-annual extreme. Another matter is the Moon’s current southerly declination. Those who support your theory ideally want the Moon to be closer to opposition (or conjunction) and near perigee and with a declination in the same hemisphere as the epicenter to indicate a correlation with an earthquake.
For my diagram showing the relationship among upcoming Full Moons and their perigees, apogees and declinations, go to http://www.curtrenz.com/astronomical.html and then click the button for Full Moons.
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For astronomical graphics, including
monthly wallpaper calendar, visit:
www.CurtRenz.com/astronomical.html
Curt Renz - "Centaur"
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darkstar528
Post Laureate
Reged: 03/06/07
Posts: 4760
Loc: Hodgenville, Kentucky, USA
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Very nice Curt, thank you for the info and link!...Thank you as well Tim, this subject has truly intrigued me since I can still feel the swaying just sitting here...
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Blue skies,
Stephen "Darkstar" Ames
PST, VIXEN 8-24mm,CEMAX 2x Barlow, Thousand Oaks White Light Filter and a Meade Elec EP
CFI, CFII, MEI, working on EIEIO!
BAA Member
My solar site:
http://seemysunspot.com
Live solarcams from around the world:
http://www.seemysunspot.com/live_sun.html
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